Chinese World Economic Outlook Update International Monetary Fund January 2015 Update

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1. 2015-2016 3.5% 3.7% 2014 10 0.3 10 2014 10 9 55% 2014 3.25% 3.75% 2014 10 6% 2% 8% 10 10 2015 1 20 11 2015 1 19 10 2. 2 2015 1 2015 2016 3.5% 3.7% 2014 10 0.3 1 2014 2015-2016 3% 2014 10 2015 2016 1.2% 1.4% 2014 2015-2016 2015 4.3%2016 4.7% 2014 10 2014 2014 10 2015 1.3% 2016 2.3% 2015 3. 3 2015 1 2013 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 1/ 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.7 0.3 0.3 3.1 3.4 3.9 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 2.7 2.3 2.2 2.4 3.6 3.3 0.5 0.3 2.6 3.4 3.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.2 1.5 1.3 1.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.2 1.3 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.4 2.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.6 0.2 1.7 2.6 2.7 2.4 0.0 0.1 2.7 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.4 2.3 2.1 0.1 0.3 2.4 2.1 2.1 2/ 2.2 2.8 3.0 3.2 0.2 0.1 2.3 . . . . . . 3/ 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.7 0.6 0.5 4.5 4.1 5.4 2.2 0.9 1.4 0.8 2.9 1.7 1.5 3.5 1.8 1.3 0.6 3.0 1.0 3.5 2.5 0.0 5.4 1.9 4.3 1.5 2.4 4.4 1.6 0.2 . . . . . . . . . 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.2 0.2 0.3 6.4 6.3 6.2 7.8 7.4 6.8 6.3 0.3 0.5 7.4 6.7 6.3 4/ 5.0 5.8 6.3 6.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 6.5 6.6 5/ 5.2 4.5 5.2 5.3 0.2 0.1 4.6 5.1 5.5 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.1 0.1 0.2 2.9 . . . . . . 2.8 1.2 1.3 2.3 0.9 0.5 1.1 . . . . . . 2.5 0.1 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.2 1.4 2.1 3.2 3.5 0.3 0.3 2.6 3.4 3.5 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.9 0.6 0.5 . . . . . . . . . 6/ 2.7 3.6 2.8 2.7 1.6 1.7 . . . . . . . . . 5.2 4.8 4.9 5.2 0.9 0.8 . . . . . . . . . 5.4 6.1 4.8 5.2 2.5 2.0 . . . . . . . . . 2.2 1.4 2.1 2.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.8 6.1 5.9 5.9 6.1 0.6 0.5 . . . . . . . . . 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.2 0.2 0.2 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.8 5.3 1.1 0.2 . . . . . . . . . 2.0 3.0 3.7 4.8 0.6 0.2 . . . . . . . . . 5.5 3.6 3.2 6.1 2.9 0.2 . . . . . . . . . 7/ 0.9 7.5 41.1 12.6 37.8 14.6 28.6 19.5 9.6 1.2 4.0 9.3 0.7 5.2 0.1 7.4 4.5 0.4 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.4 1.4 1.0 1.8 3/ 5.9 5.4 5.7 5.4 0.1 0.2 5.8 6.3 5.6 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.9 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.1 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 2014128201515 1/ 90% 2/ 3/ 80% 4/GDP2013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017 GDP4.7%5.6%6.3%6.5% 5/ 6/2015201620102013 2014 7/201496.2620 1556.73201663.88 1. 201410 4. 4 2015 1 2015-2016 1 Arezki Blanchard2014 2019 2014 10 60% 2015 22%2019 13% 60% 2019 2015 2016 GDP 0.7% 0.8% 10 2015 2016 GDP 0.3% 0.4% 2015 GDP 0.4%-0.7% 0.2%-0.5% 1 Rabah Arezki Olivier Blanchard2014 2014 12 22 http://blog-imfdirect.imf.org