Top Down vs Bottom Up Forecast Gas Demand

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Seluruh JawaGas Demand Top-Down Forecast2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015DaerahPDBSeluruh Jawa6%p.a9209408938999291,0791,2841,5081,7532,0212,3152,6242,9603,3253,7224,155Seluruh Jawa7%p.a9209408938999291,1411,4261,7412,0902,4762,9033,2723,6784,1244,6155,154Seluruh Jawa5%p.a9209408938999291,0171,1441,2821,4321,5931,7682,0282,3082,6092,9333,2827%-5%000001242824596588831,1341,2441,3701,5151,6811,872Gas Demand Bottom-Up ForecastDaerah Jawa (Seluruhnya)2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015COMMITTED1. Power5695697947947948138138138138138132. Gas Kota2043644444944944944193903903503253. Industri418407462474439441442417392278214Subtotal1,1911,3401,6991,7611,7271,7481,6741,6201,5961,4411,352UNCOMMITTED1. Power02974487421,0171,0221,0271,3651,4361,5461,6932. Gas Kota802263273743843964825235365505633. Industri386879321,0801,0811,0821,0831,0831,1051,1151,115Subtotal1181,2101,7072,1962,4822,5002,5932,9713,0773,2113,372TOTAL9209408938999291,3082,5503,4063,9574,2104,2484,2674,5914,6734,6534,723

JawaBaratGas Demand Top-Down Forecast2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015DaerahPDBJawa Barat6%p.a5725826116456677728881,0131,1471,2931,4521,6381,8412,0612,3002,561Jawa Barat7%p.a5725826116456678179811,1611,3571,5721,8082,0302,2732,5412,8353,159Jawa Barat5%p.a5725826116456677297978709471,0301,1191,2771,4471,6291,8252,0367%-5%00000881842914105426887528269121,0101,122Gas Demand Bottom-Up ForecastDaerah Jawa Barat2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015COMMITTED1. Power2882883683683683873873873873873872. Gas Kota1042543043543543542792502502502503. Industri35834725626121221121218716210844Subtotal750889928983933952878824799745681UNCOMMITTED1. Power01783106047597597599739739991,0582. Gas Kota030651001001001752042042042043. Industri38667812960961962963963985995995Subtotal388761,1871,6641,8201,8211,8982,1412,1632,1982,257TOTAL5725826116456677871,7642,1152,6472,7542,7732,7752,9642,9622,9442,937

JawaTengahGas Demand Top-Down Forecast2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015DaerahPDBJawa Tengah6%p.a4087141203273322376435501572Jawa Tengah7%p.a51112183265359419486561642733Jawa Tengah5%p.a30641021461942342783263784347%-5%224881119165185209235265299Gas Demand Bottom-Up ForecastDaerah Jawa TengahURAIAN2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015COMMITTED1. Power001451451451451451451451451452. Gas Kota000000000003. Industri00606060606060606060Subtotal00205205205205205205205205205UNCOMMITTED1. Power06464641151201252492562633072. Gas Kota005962646769727578813. Industri00000000000Subtotal064123126179187194321331341388TOTAL064328331384392399526536546593Subtotal17.0177.89112.891147.892193.253193.253268.254413.88413.88413.88449.52TOTAL17.01217.89312.891347.892393.253393.253468.254613.88613.88613.88649.52

JawaTimurGas Demand Top-Down Forecast2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015DaerahPDBJawa Timur6%p.a3483592822542623073554084645255916647438299221,022Jawa Timur7%p.a3483592822542623253944695506397368239191,0231,1371,262Jawa Timur5%p.a3483592822542622893183493824174555175846557308127%-5%000003676120168222281306335368407450Gas Demand Bottom-Up ForecastDaerah Jawa TengahURAIAN2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015COMMITTED1. Power2812812812812812812812812812812812. Gas Kota100110140140140140140140140100753. Industri6060145153168170170170170110110Subtotal441451567574589591591591591491466UNCOMMITTED1. Power05474741431431431432072843292. Gas Kota801962032122202292382472572682783. Industri020120120120120120120120120120Subtotal80270397406483492501510584672727TOTAL3483592822542625217229649801,0721,0831,0921,1011,1751,1631,194

JawaSeluruh928.51358156710928.51358156711017.4354243894123.91662281951308.31511342471144.3986118848281.79809544492549.711761282.2080074253459.14363097273406.40192438361431.6083861469658.46767975913957.25573260271593.3961610988882.53281427054209.50645863011768.42254522351134.37353123674248.14210246582028.47353454881243.76533403174266.600762308.26062836941369.95125422454591.246762609.34292352741515.03995140564672.586762933.38009491471681.36607159144652.636763282.13913316431871.5124212054723.48676

Range Top Down Forecast untuk PDB: 5-7 %Bottom Up ForecastTahunMMCFD

JaTengGraph200520050.0129.650774304121.608530380563.8963.679902995648.3337353202327.891102.280502408180.7207472899330.892145.6648560396119.375680147384.253194.0652548608164.9710794241392.253233.9718530952185.4162324374399.254277.7156657594208.6480188699525.88325.5045965159235.018525493535.88377.562943971264.9154626609545.88434.1322233983298.7655056353592.52

Range Top Down Forecast untuk PDB: 5-7 %Bottom Up ForecastTahunMMCFDGas Demand Wilayah Jawa Bagian Tengah

JaTimGraph261.61755744110261.6175574411288.557901373336.2872756091521.22528317.875999671976.0253591013721.70528349.0248680246119.7780166088963.54528382.1625839281168.0988424308979.64528417.4553633568221.59045303181071.72528455.0781709758280.90924298171083.02528517.2271519279305.96913610861092.02528583.5943865355334.9555895071101.02528654.5302812894368.34227709421174.86528730.4047455528406.65211547181163.14528811.6085741879450.46192578841193.50528

Range Top Down Forecast untuk PDB: 5-7 %Bottom Up ForecastTahunMMCFDGas Demand Wilayah Jawa Bagian Timur

JabarGraph728.877523016187.6293472105787.0798334247796.8718379087184.16420596311764.11648869.5032364052291.03187904372114.9656443836947.1652998107409.64809003832646.71845260271030.2759417024541.56668109172753.52817863011119.2791193869688.49320883092772.86382246581277.2745295257752.37996548572775.321481446.9505760745826.34764584752964.341481629.3080457221911.67914881852961.841481825.4124053911009.79849345872943.611482036.39833557821122.28498978132937.46148

Range Top Down Forecast untuk PDB: 5-7 %Bottom Up ForecastTahunMMCFDGas Demand Wilayah Jawa Bagian Barat

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